Friday, April 17, 2020

The Belly Flapping Principal


A favorite axiom of my late Father, Bob White. He held people change their attitudes, opinions, and willingness to do certain jobs fastest when their, “Bellies started flapping”.  The Wuhan Flu response will result in many bellies flapping.

State and Local Government

Where is the tax revenue? This huge shopping center is usually packed, even mid week. While the state government is collecting taxes on online sales, cities and counties are not.

Non Essential Workers

Unemployment won’t pay the bills, especially in two income families. The $1,200 from the Feds? Probably isn’t even a house payment. They will be hurting for months to come. Many are college educated “professionals” that tend towards liberalism. We will see how that works out.

Having lived a boom or bust life working on commission, I take no joy in their plight.  They are looking at vehicles repossessed, home foreclosure, and having to tell their children “no” over and over.
(P)regressives

Colorado went deep blue last election. All statewide elective offices, a super-majority in the House, and a majority in the Senate. Two things kept them from running amok. First, Colorado’s TABOR (taxpayer’s bill of rights) is part of the State Constitution. They are using “fees” to get around that, but court challenges will decide the issue. Second, the Senate cannot come to order without enough Senators present. There are enough Republican that, if they stay away, the Senate cannot function. That tactic has been used for years, by both parties in numerous states. Texas comes to mind.

Along with tax collection shortfall, the energy segment is collapsing.

The greenies may get their wish. When it dawns on them the amount of revenue the state once received from the industry, that will be a belly flapping time.

All these (P)regressives were elected when Colorado was enjoying great prosperity. Now they will face a bleak reality. It will be much worse for counties and cities. Boulder, I’m looking at you.
So where will the cuts come? The cynical me thinks it will be the programs that help the poorest and sickest (physical and mental).

As my Father would be saying, “Bellies will be flapping”. What will be the end result I can’t even guess, but I’m damn sure the political landscape will be greatly different two years from now.

                                                                 Update

It begins. Copied from Facebook.
We received an email today from Colorado Counties Inc. about Governor Polis keeping about $1.7 billion dollars from the Cares Act to help balance the states budget. This money was earmarked to be sent down to counties to help with the effects of Covid 19. However Polis only wants funding to counties with a population of 500,000 or more. If you ever felt like calling and complaining to the Governor here is another case to make that call.
Shared by a county COMMISSIONER from CROWLEY county

Note: Of Colorado's 64 counties, only 5 are over 500,000. Only one, El Paso (Colorado Springs) can be called Conservative.

8 comments:

drjim said...

I think a whole lot of things will be changing in the next two years. If the state runs short, all the liberals will cry to D.C. for a hand-out.

The Colorado natives like yourself understand how the state's economy works. Most of the recent arrivals from other (usually liberal) states don't have a clue, but want to screw it up for the rest of us.

Well Seasoned Fool said...

DrJim
Long term residents and natives have lived through booms and busts many times. That is the economic history of the state.

LL said...

It's not good when your belly button is sticking to your backbone.

As you know, I cast the runes and try and predict, but this one is a head scratcher. State, county and local governments WILL see massive lay-offs. Police and fire are usually the last to have their ranks thinned.

I received an e-mail from a friend who sent me an article yesterday that highlighted Huntington Beach, CA. The police are going to undertake a job action for more pay. They've been working four months without a contract. What fools. Self-satisfied, spoiled, fools.

Well Seasoned Fool said...

LL
Think their timing is just a little off? But, it is Cali.

LSP said...

Well it's all a larf 'til you run outta other people's money. Colorado going blue is weird and bad, imo. Can you get out from under, at the ballot box? Hope so.

In the meanwhile, watch them flail as they run out of money.

Aspen should be quarantined, with extreme prejudice. Not unlike Austin or San Fran, come to think of it.

Well Seasoned Fool said...

LSP
Colorado has suffered for decades from maladjusted children of the rich, sent out with their trust funds to keep their embarrassing ways away from the home manor. They seem to nest in the mountain ski towns. From the North in Steamboat Springs down the Continental Divide ending in Pagosa Springs and Durango. A satellite location would be Boulder.

The historical precedent would be the "remittance men" of the old West.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remittance_man

A modern model would be our senior US Senator whose brother is editor of the New York Times.

There are exceptions, of course, who enhance the state in many ways. Sadly, too few.

Old NFO said...

Polis just stepped on it big time with that little ploy... When will the lawsuits start? Or have they already?

Well Seasoned Fool said...

OldNFO
Started. Some sheriffs won't enforce closures so the deep blue AG is using his people to enforce the guv's decrees.