Civil War

Upcoming civil war is a common topic on the internet as people become angrier with those in power, elected or behind the scenes. I anticipate we will have violent protests in our future. The question I have is, “What is civil war?”

From Wikipedia:

A civil war or intrastate war^[a] is a war between organized groups within the same state (or country). The aim of one side may be to take control of the country or a region, to achieve independence for a region, or to change government policies

I don’t see this happening, especially along the lines of the American Civil War/War of Northern Aggression. The key?  Organized groups.

Give the FBI credit. They can’t seem to find auto theft rings, catalytic theft enablers, Islamic jihadists, or Chinese spies but  excel in infiltrating groups opposed to government interference in our lives. That makes organized groups, beyond very small cadres, ineffective.

What seems to have been the common element in past civil insurrections are one or more leaders people will rally around. The closest in my lifetime is Donald Trump.

What are more likely are individuals, or very small cadres, conducting sniping and bombing campaigns. MANPADS vs private jets? Old fashion mortars? Is Martha’s Vineyard within range of a mortar on the mainland? That would ruin a garden party. Pain, suffering, and death among the presently coddled elites might change some attitudes.

At this point the only seemingly directed mobs are BLM and Antifa who are most likely government sponsored and protected.

The late Mike Vanderboegh wrote clearly on this subject with his blog, Sipsey Street Irregulars.

http://sipseystreetirregulars.blogspot.com/

Yesterday the barber I visit cut my hair. He is from Iran and I inquired about his take on the current riots there. He is of the opinion that the exiles who want back in power are behind them; that there are no leaders, and that the rioters won’t change anything.

Who am I to say he is right or wrong? What I heard echoed was a sentiment many in this country have about our lives.

To sum up, I expect the future will bring more pissing and moaning but no civil war. Unrest, rioting, vast increases in crime, and hand wringing by politicians, yes. Civil war, no.

Feel free to express your definition of civil war.

As always, YMMV.